The BBC Countryfile programme, in the edition transmitted on Sunday April 7 (2014), delivered another example of a person caught-up in delusions that GM crops have a part to play in the future of farming. This time it was a member of the British Royal Family. Very dangerous thinking, which will no doubt provide others caught-up in this delusion, with ammunition to further their belief in the importance of this technology.
Belief is the key word here, for I have yet to find any sound rational evidence that it has any importance. Its main contribution to agriculture seems mostly to be about people acquiring kudos and making a lot of money, at the risk of causing problems for future generations, while ignoring other approaches that do offer greater prospects for delivering on the need to respond to growing world population without destroying the natural world. I am referring here to such things as urban agriculture, permaculture, and behavioural and lifestyle changes. But as Rachael Carson pointed out in the early 1960s in her book Silent Spring, there are no big research grants for academic groups to be found in following these other paths – and to this I would also add, little scientific kudos, no Nobel prizes, no patents to be filed, and little in the way of personnel wealth to be acquired. And to those who would say “the world is thus”, I say no, “thus do you make the world”, and our children will curse you for it.
So I repeat my message that sustainability, sustainable agriculture in this particular case, is to be found in behavioural change and the quest for sustainability should be driven by this concept, from which novel scientific and technological thinking will, I can assure you, follow. But most people in the world of science, engineering and technology have not got the vision, the imagination and the courage to walk this different path. Advanced knowledge and stupid beliefs, this is the defining characteristic of many of these people! Say hello to these Prometheans, you will find them in Moments in Time.
A Scriptovisualist's Blog: Thoughts about art, science, technology, engineering, business and the most pressing matter of our time – transitioning to a sustainable way of living. To receive blogs by email use the subscribe facility below:
Sunday, 13 April 2014
Sunday, 6 April 2014
Engineering – An Example of an Occupation in Need of Behavioural Change
Engineering is very important to society given that most of
that which we rely upon in the modern world results from engineering endeavour.
But there is another side to engineering, which, on the whole, many engineers
do not want to discuss. For, not only are engineers partly responsible for all
those things that make life comfortable, but also all the bad things that are
destroying our world. And yet many engineers are seemingly blind to this fact,
and also unwilling to engage in the intellectual development that would move
them forward. They are literally, trapped in the past. They have become like
Prometheus, chained to a rock, and the rock and the chains are invisible to
most of them, thus when they read what is written here, not only will most of
them not agree, but will do so with an emotion that should serve as a warning.
It is important therefore to ask: if the occupation of engineering
is fit for purpose, given the circumstances that humanity faces in the early
21st century? There are also many other important questions to consider: What
needs to be done to improve the standing of engineers in society? Are there
some areas of activities where engineers should not be allowed to practice
without special knowledge, competencies and certification? Is the current
system of registration for Chartered Engineering status in need of major
revision? How can standards be raised so that excellence rises above
mediocrity? Is there a need for regulation founded in law?
The world has changed significantly since the 18th and 19th
centuries, but apart from working with new technologies, it seems that minds
have not moved on. Engineers tend to handle modern challenges and 21st century
technologies, and interact with an increasingly technologically literate
society, on the basis of 18th century beliefs and values. Increasingly many
engineers are out of step with society. It is not therefore surprising that
they are often held in such low regard, not only by other professions, but by
society at large.
It is time for engineers to step into the 21st century, and
to begin to reform themselves, to change their culture, to raise standards, to
start behaving as true professionals rather than representatives of employers,
and, above all, to stop engaging in collective delusions.
And the route to change starts by engineers accepting and
acknowledging, and being open about, their failings. This will not happen
however, as long as the Engineering Institutions continue to behave as though
there is nothing wrong with engineering. Engineering Institutions in the UK are
increasingly succumbing to the modern disease of style over substance and are
over emphasising the importance of engineers and demonstrating a pride in their
achievements that does not reflect the reality of the damage that engineers
have also caused. These Institutions lack vision, provide no leadership, and
fail to offer a role model and a benchmark for behaviour, being also themselves
caught-up in collective delusions. These Institutions are also full of
optimism, choosing to project an image that hides the reality of an occupation
that many would not want to be associated with. Furthermore, like countless
individual engineers, these Institutions also subscribe to the deficit
hypothesis, perceiving not engineers to be the problem, but others, who,
through some deficit, are unable to see how marvellous engineers are.
Engineering Institutions in the UK also seem to struggle to fully
understand their purpose and role, and fail to demonstrate any in-depth
understanding that they no longer have much in the way of unique selling
points, with much of what they are able to offer now available free-of-charge
as a result of a networked world. As a consequence, they turn to marketing
hype, using terms such as thought
leadership, to cover their emptiness, and engage is the pretence of being
independent, even though their alignment with vested interests is plain for all
to see. And many engineers are taken-in by this nonsense; such is their
unquestioning acceptance of the world. And there is a word to describe all this
– and that word is hubris.
That which the Engineering Institutions will not do must
therefore be done by individuals. One of the interesting features of the modern
age is that formal organisations no longer hold the power that they once did.
Power is shifting downwards to individuals, and it is now time to use that
power. Among my blogs you will find much information about several issues that
are linked to fitness for purpose. This information should help people to
better understand what is wrong. But now
also it is time to start moving on to considering the foundations for a very
different type of engineering that is truly a profession. And the same comments
also apply to scientists and technologists as well.
How to change the behaviour
of those who have acquired the values and beliefs that keep these groups
chained to the rock of the past is a difficult issue. In my book Moments in Time, the central character
(an engineer) in the end, realises what he must do – behave differently. But
what should that different behaviour be? What is the new paradigm? During the
course of 2014 I plan to discuss some aspects of this. Slowly I am edging
towards explaining, but first I have more to say, so, next week I will explore
matters further.
Sunday, 30 March 2014
Behavioural Change – The Key to Enabling the Transition to a Sustainable Civilisation
It is not science, engineering or
technology that will deliver a sustainable civilisation, but behavioural
change. If we do not now begin to change the way we behave in the world, then
we as a species have no future.
Long gone are the days when we
can somehow stumble along, relying on good luck to survive. If we do not begin
to act now to change our behaviours, then resource depletion and destruction of
biodiversity will lead to a world of even greater conflicts than that which
exists today, and we should be in no doubt, that once the conflicts and unrest
begin, governments across the globe, to ensure the maintenance of order in a
increasingly dysfunctional world, will begin to resort to extreme measures,
where individual freedoms, human rights, and democracy will become delusions,
for there will be no room for such things as state of emergency thinking begins
to take hold. And the sad thing about all this, is nothing will be done to
prevent it from happening unless ordinary people now begin to act to bring
about change themselves, for none of those who are part of the alliance of
vested interests, have any serious intention of initiating a transition to
sustainable living. For them, it is business as usual with a few minor adjustments,
regardless of the consequences.
This is what is at stake – the
future of our world, our children’s world. We are leaving them with a legacy
that they will curse us for. So do not be deluded into thinking that science,
engineering and technology will save us, for these are part of the problem.
Scientists, engineers and technologists are at the top of the list of people
who need to change, who need to find completely new approaches to the way they
practice and what they believe, as I have made clear in several recent blogs,
for there is no one more like Prometheus than the typical scientist, engineer
and technologist. And this is the theme of my forthcoming novel, Moments in Time, a theme which is also
explored in a series of books that I have written over the past few years: Encounter with a Wise Man; A Tale of Two Deserts; and Enigma.
So I repeat – the key to
sustainability is behavioural change, and that means that we all have to
change, and how we can modify our behaviour is a topic that I will be exploring
in future blogs.
Sunday, 23 March 2014
Cognitive Bias
In my blog about the concepts
that underlie the Prometheus Syndrome, I mentioned the values and beliefs that
are the constituents of what is called a paradigm, and that these aspects are
hidden, tacit, and taken for granted. Most people who adhere to a paradigm (and
everyone does) are not aware of these hidden aspects (the hidden chains). And
when people within a paradigm encounter someone that challenges these hidden
beliefs and values, people tend to become angry, and resort, in the mildest of
circumstances, to dismissing this strange person as being heretical, as lacking
in right-mindedness, as someone suffering from a deficit. In more extreme
situations the adherents to the faith (the paradigm) become extremists and some
then resort to violence and persecution to silence the heretics. These paradigms
(faiths) come in many different forms, but the ones of most interest to me at
the moment, are the faith systems called science, engineering and technology,
along with the rather strange values and beliefs that are part of these faiths.
And so it is that those people
who participate in, so called independent and unbiased studies and reviews, do in
fact bring to these exercises, a lot of hidden baggage in the forms of values, beliefs
and taken for granted assumptions. That such people think themselves to be
independent and unbiased, also demonstrates another feature of paradigms, that
of delusion, both individual and collective, which is a key trait of human
behaviour, as most know, for this is what the tale of the emperor’s new clothes
is about. And the belief that we (all of us) are unbiased is a delusion, and
for this there is scientific evidence.
What I am referring to here is over 40 years worth of research by cognitive
scientists that relates to the topic known as cognitive bias.
I watched a very interesting
science programme on BBC 1 a few weeks back about how we really think. The message from the psychologists is that the
rational part of our minds is not the star
of the show as they put it, only it thinks that it is. One psychologist said
that humans are suffering from the delusion that they are rational. Most of the
time, an irrational rapid response system takes decisions without thinking, but
we are not aware of this. A common feature is to base a decision on previous ones,
even though these might have nothing to do with the current decision. The
result is we make a lot of mistakes. Worse though is that we do not recognise
that the auto system is taking the wrong decisions, and the rational part of
the mind, which is slow relative to the fast part, then makes up rational
explanations for the decisions, and these explanations do not always correspond
to the real reasons.
I found this fascinating for it links
to what I have observed over past 35 years and also what I wrote about in the
blog entry about the Prometheus Syndrome and what is also said in my 1994 book
on Agile Manufacturing.
An interesting discovery is that
some other primates also display the same biased behaviour, hence the
conclusion that this is an evolutionary adaptation, hence it is built into our
DNA. This is also a conclusion I had already come to many years ago when I started
to think about why the many people who I encounter rarely think about what
needs to be done, and just assume that what worked in the past is still
relevant. And this is the conclusion that I came to:
Imaging this; it is the age of
the hunter-gatherer and you are out hunting for food in an environment where there
are other humans out hunting as well, along with other humanoids. Past experience
of encounters with humans and humanoids points to one conclusion – that they
are dangerous. But these are not the only risks that you face, for out hunting
are wild animals, some of which are very dangerous, and you are on the menu. In
such circumstances you do not have time to rationally analyse everything that
confronts you, hence automatic decision making that is based what worked in the
past is your best option for survival. And here in the 21st century
we are still doing the same even though it is no longer appropriate – we are
truly chained to the past, by virtue of our DNA, and most of us do not realise
we are doing this. Thus it is that, what once helped ensure our survival as a
species, now works towards our demise.
The conclusion of the
psychologists is that we need to change our institutions, working methods,
regulation frameworks, policy making processes, etc. to take account of cognitive bias. I fully agree with this,
which is one of the reasons I fully support upstream public engagement in
science, engineering and technology, so that all these values, biases, etc. can
be brought out into the open, and organisations like the Royal Society and the
Royal Academy of Engineering can be positioned where they belong, as being
representatives of a paradigm. Clearly we also need to set-up a truly
independent means of undertaking upstream public engagement – independent of
government, and all those other bodies that like to think of themselves as
being independent, unbiased etc.
In relation to the matter of sustainability,
cognitive biases is also part of the reasons why people tend to assume that we
should be engaging in morphostatic change (in some mysterious way we can make
what we have today sustainable through small adjustments), when we should
actually be engaging in morphogenic change (reinventing our world). This bias
towards incremental improvements can be seen as a systematic error resulting
from cognitive bias.
The path to change, starts with
the realisation that we are participating in delusions, and that we are not
unbiased, and that all we do is determined by hidden factors, and often, in the
end, we make a lot of bad decisions, and then post rationalise these to fit
with are deluded understandings of ourselves – that we are independent,
rational, unbiased, only concerned with facts and evidence …
Understanding this is one of the
key steps towards the development of sustainability, the achievement of which
will be based on behavioural change. And this is the message underlying my two
new books: Enigma and Moments in Time.
Sunday, 16 March 2014
The Meaning of the Term “The Risks can be Managed”
Now to
the matter of this strange term: the
risks can be managed. In my previous blog I discussed the UK Government’s
report which reviewed fracking in the UK , seeking to know if the risks
could be managed. They asked people who believe in any case that the risks can be managed, which of course
led to the conclusions that they can, even though the report in question does
not contain sufficiently convincing evidence that the risks can be managed.
Probably
you have heard people using this expression on the television. The sort of
people who say this, are also the ones that often claim not to have any particular axe to grind, or that
they are independent, or that they
are unbiased, or that they only deal
with facts and evidence, or that they are rational, … All things that should warn us that we are dealing with
people who, somewhere along the path of their lives, acquired a lot of
delusional baggage and have lost touch with the reality that just about
everyone has an axe to grind, is not independent, is biased, is irrational, and
makes subjective judgements. If people are claiming to be independent and so
forth, then they are not human, which is perhaps something they want not to be,
preferring instead the cold, heartless and unemotional machine-like logic that
leads societies and civilisations to the edge of doom.
It may have
also come to your attention that people say the
risks can be managed, often when they are talking about something that is
very dangerous, or potentially so, or which, if something when wrong, would be
very damaging. Here therefore is a clue to what it really means, which is this:
Any sensible person would look at
this and conclude that we should not be doing this for the consequences are
unacceptable should anything go wrong, but there is too much money to be made,
too much kudos to be gained, from not doing this, so I am willing to say that
the emperor is wearing a fine suit of clothes, even though he is clearly naked:
the risks can be managed.
The term
is a manifestation of many unacceptable characteristics of modern scientists,
engineers, and technologists: delusion, denial, hubris, conflicts of interest,
bias, lack of independence … Most importantly it is an expression of an
out-dated mindset that looks at the world from the perspective of risks, when
in fact what these people should be looking at are consequences.
A
consequence-driven approach would deliver a much healthier outcome for people
and the planet, for it would lead us to take a different path – one that does
not involve plundering the earth of its natural resources and turning our planet
into a toxic and radioactive wasteland, where life struggles to flourish, and
often perishes.
Looking
at consequences also means taking into account the unexpected and unforeseen
ones, which is why the concept of not doing things today which leave an unwanted
legacy for future generations, is important. The unexpected and unforeseen
consequence were recognised as being important long ago, in the early 1960s, by
Rachael Carson, who wrote about them
in her book Silent Spring. Yet here
we are 50 years later and we still do not know how to handle these. Evidently
also, some people do not want to, for they know if these were to be considered,
the case for not doing whatever it is they are pushing for, would be even
stronger.
Over the
past few years we have seen a number of cases where the risks could not be
managed: e.g. Deep Water Horizon and Fukushima . It may also be the case that
the chemical insecticides known as Neonicotinoids may turn out to be yet another
case where the risks could not be managed. Dig back over the past decades and
you will find more examples. This leads me to the conclusion that we are here
dealing with some scientists, engineers and technologists who caught up in that
strange behaviour that I have previously mentioned: simultaneously smart yet also dumb. Smart they may well be when it
comes to limited matters, but dumb they are also when it comes to that which
matters the most.
It is
time for change, for a different approach, and to begin a process of
transitioning modern civilisation away from the foolish path that it is now
following. The quest for sustainability is about finding this new path. Yet
those invisible chains keep getting in the way, keeping these risks can be managed types firmly trapped
in a very dangerous way of thinking. And about this Promethean mind, more will
be said in my next blog. It is also explored in my forthcoming novel, Moments in Time. This tells the story of
an engineer, who believing that the risks
can be managed, proceeds as a consequence of this delusion, to destroy
everything of value in his world, and only after he has done so, does he
realise that the risks could not be
managed. Too late perhaps? Let us therefore ensure that the same fate does
not befall the whole of humanity. This is however becoming an increasingly
likely outcome if we do not now radically change our behaviour. This last word
is a key one, and it will appear in many texts that I write in future, for it
is the key to beginning to understand what will save humanity from a bleak
future – not science, not technology, not engineering, but different
behaviours.
Sunday, 9 March 2014
The UK Government’s Fracking Report
Now to the matter of this
so-called evidence-based, engineering thinking …
In my blog from last week
(See-through Engineering and Fracking), I mentioned that I was in the process
of studying a report that the UK Government commissioned in 2012. The report
was prepared by bodies that would claim to be independent, objective, rational,
unbiased … The bodies concerned are the Royal Society and the Royal Academy of
Engineering. If you believe that they are truly independent etc. – this is a
choice that everyone is free to make. They do however, like the Institution of
Mechanical Engineers mentioned in last week’s blog, very much look to be lobby
groups. They will probably say that they are not, but there is no accounting
for the silly things that scientific and engineering types say – a rose is a
rose by any other name.
For those wishing to read the
report it is called: Shale gas
extraction in the UK :
a review of hydraulic fracturing. It is available at the following web
sites: royalsociety.org/policy/projects/shale-gas-extraction and
raeng.org.uk/shale.
Having worked for several decades
in preparing reports, some for government agencies, one thing I have learned –
no one is independent when it comes to working with governments, civil servants
and politicians. All have an agenda, and I am no different to anyone else. What
marks me out is that I do not seek to hide my agenda, nor do I engage in
delusional statements about being unbiased.
As for the report, its brief was set
by the Government’s Chief Scientist (at that time Beddington). The brief was
very limited. Specifically, the terms of reference of the review, were: (i) to
identify the major risks associated with hydraulic fracturing as a means
to extract shale gas in the UK, including geological risks, such as seismicity,
and environmental risks, such as groundwater contamination (ii) to establish if
the risks can be effectively managed, and if so how.
In my blog of February 23 2014 (See-through Science) I wrote about a report from a Think Tank
called DEMOS, that was advocating upstream public engagement in science (in policy
making, research strategy development, funding decisions, etc.). The report
discusses how governments can manipulate circumstances to their own interests,
by setting briefs for so-called independent studies, and picking the right people
to undertake the work, so that the conclusions reached are those that the
government wants. Here is a case I believe that well illustrates this
manipulative behaviour.
The brief that was set for the study has led to a report
that is nothing more than a collection of historical facts, information about
regulations and technologies, and tutorials about such, etc. It is the kind of
material that typically, in a high quality report, would be included in an
appendix. But in this case, if such material had been placed where it belongs,
in appendices, then the main body of the report would be very thin indeed!
And if you ask two bodies that represent the interests of
groups (scientists, engineers and technologists) whose thinking, which is
deeply embedded in their cultures (in the form of biases, values, vested
interests, beliefs, etc.), is that the
risks can be managed, what do you expect their conclusions will be? They
are a safe bet to come up with the answer that is sought: that the risks can be managed.
It will not therefore come as a surprise to learn that this
is the conclusion reached. The report states (on page 4): “The health, safety
and environmental risks associated with hydraulic fracturing (often termed
‘fracking’) as a means to extract shale gas can be managed effectively in the
UK as long as operational best practices are implemented and enforced through
regulation.”
Was it ever going to
reach any other conclusion? This you must decide for yourself. What I here
offer is an observation that the material in the report does not convincingly support
this conclusion.
The most striking
aspect of the content of this report is the uncertainty, unknowns, lack of
factual information, and, lack of detailed knowledge about sites where fracking
might take place. This report is full of words and phrases such as: if …, the
most likely cause …, this explanation does not necessarily apply to …, one possible
explanation …, an alternative … explanation has been provided …, very little is
currently known about …, there is greater uncertainty about …, large
uncertainties in quantifying …, where possible …, it may be possible …, it is
difficult to predict …, there is a lack of …
I looked at the
report trying to find an analysis of consequences that will follow, when, as we
all know will be the case, the risks turn out not to be manageable. This, you
might reasonably expect, would centre significantly in such a report. Better
think again, for you will not find these considerations which are an essential
part of any serious and professionally conducted risk analysis. Associated with
risks there are consequences, and these too should be stated. They are not, and
it is consequences that concern the public, but evidently not the Government,
the Royal Society or the Royal Academy of Engineering.
With so many
unknowns, uncertainties, and lack of consideration of consequences, the most
professional conclusion to have reached would have been:
“Given the lack of
information and specific details, it is not possible to state with a high
degree of confidence that the health, safety and environmental risks
associated with hydraulic fracturing (often termed ‘fracking’) as a means to
extract shale gas can be managed effectively in the UK , even if operational best
practices are implemented and enforced through regulation.”
An alternative
wording would have been:
“We believe that the health,
safety and environmental risks associated with hydraulic fracturing (often
termed ‘fracking’) as a means to extract shale gas can be managed effectively
in the UK
as long as operational best practices are implemented and enforced through
regulation, even though the evidence for such is not fully convincing.”
Here I also mention
that there is reference in the report to an explanation of why natural gas
prices have fallen in the USA
as a result of exploitation of shale gas. The explanation is quite simple and
predictable: supply is greater than demand. So the next time David Cameron or
George Osborn start beguiling people with vague promises about lower energy
prices, ask them about the scale of fracking that would be needed in the UK to
achieve a circumstance where supply exceeds demand, and if indeed there is
enough exploitable shale gas in the UK to achieve such a situation. Bear in
mind also, as a number of people have observed that there is as yet no
certainty that there are sufficient exploitable shale gas deposits to be sure
of any significant impact, both in terms of prices and security of supply. As I
have mentioned before, exploiting shale gas has all the signs of addicts
desperately seeking that which they are addicted to!
And now to draw the
blog to a conclusion I mention that those invisible Promethean chains once more
can be heard clanking. What the Fracking Report demonstrates is that there are
still far too many people, those who call themselves scientists, engineers and
technologists, who are willing to participate in processes and modes of
thinking that belong in the past. Here in this report one sees an attitude that
regards plundering the earth of its natural resources as an acceptable economic
activity. Here one also sees discussions that accept as a given, the idea that dumping
industrial waste in holes (man made and natural) in the plant, is a legitimate
activity.
In the report one
will also find a very disturbing statement. On page 70, it is stated: “Members
of the Working Group acted in an individual and not a representative capacity,
and declared any potential conflicts of interest.” No-where in this report does
it say, “and we can confirm that none of the members of the working party
declared any conflicts of interest”, or “we carried out independent checks to
verify that the working party had no conflicts of interest.” I am not saying
that they did have conflicts of interest just that the level of professionalism
in this report is such that this is not convincingly proven, which is
important, as the next matter shows.
I mention the above to draw to your attention just how
out-dated and out-of touch with the modern world many scientists, engineers and
technologists, and their lobby groups are. Not here will you find any role
modelling to show to others the changes in behaviour that are needed to achieve
Responsible Research and Innovation, which is what the See-through Science report addresses.
The Fracking report
mentions that there is a lack of trust in the government to act in the
public interest and ensure adequate regulatory oversight. What the report does
not mention is that there is also a lack of trust in scientists, engineers and
technologists. And the reason for this lack of trust is to be found in this
report. And the appropriate public response to this is exactly what is
happening: peaceful protest and opposition, reflecting what is at stake here:
bringing under control powerful vested interests that are combining together to
create a future for our children that will be a nightmare. And part of this
response should be to work to ensure tighter regulation of scientists,
engineers and technologists, and their lobby groups, which I would propose
should include a good dose of individual and collective legal liability, both
civil and criminal, for those who participate in the type of exercises that lead
to reports such as the one discussed here.
It is time to put an end to this sort of nonsense, time for
a different approach to dealing with these types of highly controversial
issues, which place the public on one side, and the rest, the vested interests,
on the other. Time also to start recognising that the legacy we leave to future
generations, who will have to deal with the consequences of this desperate rush
to extract and destroy the remnants of the earth’s fossil fuels, is just as
important as dealing with our own needs. If we had the vision, the courage and
the imagination to do this, then we would I am sure, end-up with a far better
set of circumstances than that which prevails in the modern world. This is also
why I wrote my (about to be published) novel, Moments in Time, for it explores the damage that results from the risks can be managed mind-set.
There are actions that people can peacefully take to ensure
that a better circumstance is brought about. And about this I will have more to
say in future blogs. But first however I want to follow-up on a number of
issues that arise from the blogs that I have written over the past few weeks,
and these I will deal with over the coming weeks.
Sunday, 2 March 2014
See-through Engineering and Fracking
Fracking has been back in the
news recently, with the Prime Minister announcing that further financial
inducements will be offered to local communities to accept Fracking in their
localities. We have indeed reached a sorry state when elected politicians no
longer respect the wishes of the electorate and resort to bribery to push ahead
with what the majority do not want. Expect more of this as the rush to grab the
remnants of the earth’s fossil fuels gathers pace. Be in no doubt the
governments of the world have no interest in transitioning our economies
towards sustainability. Business as usual is the order of the day, and this
includes use of military force to ensure strategic national and commercial
interests are protected.
In my blog last week I discussed See-through Science – the concept of public
engagement upstream, which means not thinking in terms of the public suffering
from a deficit, of their need to be educated. It also means, very importantly, exposing
the values, assumptions, biases, etc. of scientists. These values, taken for
granted assumptions, etc. – which manifest themselves in delusional statements
such as: I have no axe to grind, I am unbiased, I am independent, what
matters is rigorous evidence based analysis … – being that which the risks can be managed types, do not want
to acknowledge.
I also mentioned in my blog that
we could also consider See-through
Engineering, and the case of Fracking well illustrates this point.
The Institution of Mechanical
Engineers (IMechE), riding on the back of the publicity created by the Prime
Minister's announcement, published an article on its web site that reported the
results of an ICM survey that they had commissioned. Guess what, it shows that only
30% of the public have a good understand of Fracking. Recall what I said last
week about deficit model thinking. Apparently, according to the IMechE, more
needs to be done by the government and industry to inform the public about the
technologies, about the controls that will be used, etc. Why? Is it because,
once people are aware of these facts they will realise that they have been
suffering from, what in my book Encounter with a Wise Man I call, a lack of
right-mindedness, and will then embrace Fracking wholeheartedly.
The article also mentions that
financial incentives will not be enough to convince the public to accept
Fracking. Why do the public have to be convinced? We live in a democracy and if
the public do not want something, then that is the reason why we should not do
it, and this provides the incentive to start doing what many people know we
must do – begin the transition away from fossil fuel addiction and the
industrial era society.
Also mentioned in the IMechE
article is the need for rigorous evidence based discussion and engineering
thinking. If the article is a representation of this desirable mode of thinking, then we do not want it. And on the
matter of evidence based discussion, this brings me back to the report on
Fracking jointly produced by the Royal Society and the Royal Academy of
Engineering in 2012. I did say, in a blog from 2013, that I would examine this
report from a professional perspective, both as a writer and an engineer. I am
doing this at the moment and soon I will publish my conclusions. So far though,
it is fitting well with all those points that I mentioned in my blog about See-through Science. The case for more
robust governance of scientists, engineers and technologists is growing,
especially concerning the matter of scientific and engineering bodies claiming
to be independent when they are in fact nothing more lobby groups with rather
elegant titles.
And just to clarify, I make no
claims about being unbiased, of not having an agenda, etc. What these are,
should be clear from my previous blogs and my other writings – the future
should not be more of the past, which is what you will get if you listen to
most in the world of science, engineering and technology. And the military
aggression on the part of Russia
against the Ukraine
that is dominating world events at the moment is a timely reminder of how
European culture, with its delusions about its grand and glorious past, has
behaved and continues to do so. It is all part of the same destructive mind-set
and it is time for people to set themselves free from this.
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